{"id":156857,"date":"2019-10-23T10:30:43","date_gmt":"2019-10-23T10:30:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/main-focus-posts\/konjunktur-der-blick-in-die-kristallkugel\/"},"modified":"2022-02-14T14:46:21","modified_gmt":"2022-02-14T13:46:21","slug":"conjoncture-lart-de-lire-dans-une-boule-de-cristalfr","status":"publish","type":"main_focus_post","link":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/dossiers\/conjoncture-lart-de-lire-dans-une-boule-de-cristalfr\/","title":{"rendered":"Conjoncture&nbsp;: l\u2019art de lire dans une boule de cristal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Le calcul de pr\u00e9visions conjoncturelles aussi exactes que possibles occupe les \u00e9conomistes depuis la nuit des temps. Savoir comment \u00e9volue le produit int\u00e9rieur brut est en effet essentiel pour des acteurs \u00e9conomiques comme la Banque nationale suisse ou l\u2019Administration f\u00e9d\u00e9rale des finances. Des \u00ab&nbsp;indicateurs avanc\u00e9s&nbsp;\u00bb donnent des informations sur le d\u00e9veloppement conjoncturel avant que les statistiques officielles ne soient publi\u00e9es. Mais quelle valeur leur accorder&nbsp;? Le barom\u00e8tre du KOF, la volatilit\u00e9 des march\u00e9s financiers, des sondages men\u00e9s aupr\u00e8s des m\u00e9nages et des entreprises ou encore le commerce de marchandises constituent une partie des indicateurs avanc\u00e9s utilis\u00e9s. De nouveaux moyens \u00e9mergent \u00e9galement, comme l\u2019exploitation des requ\u00eates faites sur Google.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4910,"featured_media":86483,"template":"","acf":{"main_focus_post_central_image":156860,"main_focus_posts_list":[103611,103471,103457,103484,103444,103497],"animation":null},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/main_focus_post\/156857"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/main_focus_post"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/main_focus_post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4910"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/main_focus_post\/156857\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":160833,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/main_focus_post\/156857\/revisions\/160833"}],"acf:post":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103497"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103444"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103484"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103457"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103471"},{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/103611"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/86483"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=156857"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}