{"id":136076,"date":"2018-12-18T08:53:07","date_gmt":"2018-12-18T07:53:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/2018\/12\/tendances-conjoncturelles-hiver-2018-2019\/"},"modified":"2023-08-24T00:07:54","modified_gmt":"2023-08-23T22:07:54","slug":"tendances-conjoncturelles-hiver-2018-2019","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/2018\/12\/tendances-conjoncturelles-hiver-2018-2019\/","title":{"rendered":"Tendances conjoncturelles, hiver 2018\/2019"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2>\u00c9conomie mondiale<\/h2>\n<p>L\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale a perdu de sa vigueur au cours de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2018. En m\u00eame temps, les \u00e9carts de dynamique conjoncturelle se sont creus\u00e9s entre les \u00e9conomies pr\u00e9\u00e9minentes\u00a0: Au 3<sup>e<\/sup> trimestre, la forte expansion s\u2019est poursuivie aux \u00c9tats-Unis, tandis que la zone euro a connu un sensible fl\u00e9chissement de sa croissance \u00e9conomique.<\/p>\n<h2>\u00c9conomie suisse<\/h2>\n<p>Le PIB de la Suisse a recul\u00e9 de 0,2\u00a0% au 3<sup>e<\/sup> trimestre. En raison de l\u2019affaiblissement de la croissance internationale, les exportations de la Suisse ont fortement diminu\u00e9. En m\u00eame temps, aucune impulsion de croissance n\u2019est provenue de la demande int\u00e9rieure. Toutefois, les principaux indicateurs avanc\u00e9s annoncent un retour \u00e0 des taux de croissance mod\u00e9r\u00e9s et la situation continue de s\u2019am\u00e9liorer sur le march\u00e9 du travail.<\/p>\n<h2>Pr\u00e9visions conjoncturelles<\/h2>\n<p>Le Groupe d\u2019experts de la Conf\u00e9d\u00e9ration revoit nettement \u00e0 la baisse sa pr\u00e9vision concernant la croissance du PIB en 2018 et 2019. La principale raison r\u00e9side dans la faible \u00e9volution actuelle de la demande int\u00e9rieure qui ne devrait retrouver en dynamisme qu\u2019en 2020. En revanche, les impulsions en provenance de la demande mondiale devraient se tasser graduellement. La croissance du PIB devrait se monter \u00e0 2,6\u00a0% en 2018, avant de s\u2019abaisser \u00e0 1,5\u00a0% en 2019, puis de remonter l\u00e9g\u00e8rement \u00e0 1,7\u00a0% en 2020.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00c9conomie mondiale L\u2019\u00e9conomie mondiale a perdu de sa vigueur au cours de l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2018. En m\u00eame temps, les \u00e9carts de dynamique conjoncturelle se sont creus\u00e9s entre les \u00e9conomies pr\u00e9\u00e9minentes\u00a0: Au 3e trimestre, la forte expansion s\u2019est poursuivie aux \u00c9tats-Unis, tandis que la zone euro a connu un sensible fl\u00e9chissement de sa croissance \u00e9conomique. \u00c9conomie suisse [&hellip;]<\/p>","protected":false},"author":4193,"featured_media":204540,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"om_disable_all_campaigns":false,"ep_exclude_from_search":false,"footnotes":""},"post__type":[82],"post_opinion":[],"post_serie":[88],"post_content_category":[90],"post_content_subject":[],"acf":{"seco_author":4193,"seco_co_author":"","author_override":"","seco_author_post_ocupation_year":"","seco_author_post_occupation_de":"","seco_author_post_occupation_fr":"","seco_co_authors_post_ocupation":null,"short_title":"Tendances conjoncturelles hiver 2018\/2019","post_lead":"L\u2019\u00e9conomie suisse a connu un coup de frein au 3<sup>e<\/sup> trimestre 2018 : Apr\u00e8s cinq trimestres de croissance nettement sup\u00e9rieure \u00e0 la moyenne, le PIB r\u00e9el a chut\u00e9 de 0,2 %. Au cours des prochains trimestres, tant l\u2019\u00e9conomie exportatrice que l\u2019\u00e9conomie int\u00e9rieure devraient revenir \u00e0 une croissance mod\u00e9r\u00e9e.","post_hero_image_description":"","post_hero_image_description_copyright_de":"Keystone","post_hero_image_description_copyright_fr":"Keystone","post_references_literature":"","post_kasten":[{"kasten_title":"","kasten_box":""}],"post_notes_for_print":"","first_teaser_header_de":"","first_teaser_header_fr":"","first_teaser_text_de":"","first_teaser_text_fr":"","second_teaser_header_de":"","second_teaser_header_fr":"","second_teaser_text_de":"","second_teaser_text_fr":"","kseason_de":"Winter 2018\/2019","kseason_fr":"Hiver 2018\/2019","post_in_pdf":165924,"main_focus":"","serie_email":null,"frontpage_slider_bild":"","artikel_bild-slider":null,"legacy_id":"85769","post_abstract":"","magazine_issue":null,"seco_author_reccomended_post":"","redaktoren":"","korrektor":"","planned_publication_date":"2018-12-18 07:53:07","original_files":null,"external_release_for_author":"19700101","external_release_for_author_time":"00:00:00","link_for_external_authors":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/exedit\/5c18a0ff144ff"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/136076"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4193"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=136076"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/136076\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":165926,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/136076\/revisions\/165926"}],"acf:user":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/4193"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/204540"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=136076"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"post__type","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post__type?post=136076"},{"taxonomy":"post_opinion","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_opinion?post=136076"},{"taxonomy":"post_serie","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_serie?post=136076"},{"taxonomy":"post_content_category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_content_category?post=136076"},{"taxonomy":"post_content_subject","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/dievolkswirtschaft.ch\/fr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/post_content_subject?post=136076"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}